Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
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PEC Zwolle — ADO Den Haag, Eredivisie
Netherlands, Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
1.4LLDLW
ADO Den Haag
2.9DLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%27%34%
PEC Zwolle40%Draw27%ADO Den Haag34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1PEC Zwolle2.52—
XDraw3.77—
2ADO Den Haag2.96—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPEC ZwolleADO Den HaagCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded2.001.003.00
Corners13.78.711.2
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
PEC Zwolle 40%, HFC ADO Den Haag 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
PEC Zwolle 40%Draw 27%HFC ADO Den Haag 34%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
28 · 38 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
PEC Zwolle
- awayGroningen0:3
- homeFeyenoord0:7
- awaySparta Rotterdam2:2
- homeNEC Nijmegen1:3
- awayHeerenveen2:0
ADO Den Haag
- homeCambuur1:1
- awayTwente0:2
- homeFortuna Sittard2:3
- awayFeyenoord2:2
- awayGo Ahead Eagles1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14
Cambuur712410:195
Cambuur712410:19515
Utrecht712411:245
Utrecht712411:24516PEC Zwolle71156:204
PEC Zwolle71156:20417ADO Den Haag70257:172
ADO Den Haag70257:17218
Willem II70256:202
Willem II70256:202Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.