Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
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Pau FC — Grenoble Foot 38, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
Pau FC
WLDDL
Grenoble Foot 38
DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%27%
Pau FC47%Draw26%Grenoble Foot 3827%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Pau FC2.13—
XDraw3.86—
2Grenoble Foot 383.70—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPau FCGrenoble Foot 38Combined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners8.59.89.1
Cards1.82.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Pau FCGrenoble Foot 38
Pau FC 47%, Grenoble Foot 38 27%. The safest is “Pau FC or draw” at 78%.
Pau FC 47%Draw 26%Grenoble Foot 38 27%
1st half
38 · 38 · 24
2nd half
47 · 35 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Pau FC
- homeUS du Littoral de Dunkerque2:0
- awayMontpellier HSC0:1
- homeFC Sochaux-Montbéliard1:1
- awayRodez Aveyron Football2:2
- homeAS Nancy-Lorraine0:1
Grenoble Foot 38
- homeClermont Foot 631:1
- awayRodez Aveyron Football1:0
- homeFC Annecy1:2
- awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC3:0
- awayAS Saint-Étienne0:4
Head to head
- 01/23/26Ligue 22:2
- 10/17/25Ligue 21:1
- 02/28/25Ligue 21:0
- 08/30/24Ligue 21:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:5109
Dijon FCO723210:109
Dijon FCO723210:10910Pau FC72236:68
Pau FC72236:6811
En Avant Guingamp722310:128
En Avant Guingamp722310:12812
US du Littoral de Dunkerque722310:128
US du Littoral de Dunkerque722310:12813Grenoble Foot 3872238:118
Grenoble Foot 3872238:11814
Rodez Aveyron Football721414:167
Rodez Aveyron Football721414:16715
FC Nantes72149:137
FC Nantes72149:137Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.