Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
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Paris FC — Rennes, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Paris FC
2.1WDWWD
Rennes
2.3LDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%24%29%
Paris FC46%Draw24%Rennes29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Paris FC2.16—
XDraw4.08—
2Rennes3.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricParis FCRennesCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners6.611.59.1
Cards1.61.02.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Paris FCRennes
Paris FC 46%, Stade Rennais FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Paris FC 46%Draw 24%Stade Rennais FC 29%
1st half
39 · 35 · 25
2nd half
36 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Paris FC
- homeStrasbourg2:1
- homeLyon0:0
- awayMarseille3:2
- homeNice3:0
- awayTroyes0:0
Rennes
- awayLyon0:4
- awaySturm Graz0:0
- homeMarseille1:0
- awayAngers2:1
- homeLe Mans3:2
Head to head
- 05/10/26Ligue 11:2
- 11/07/25Ligue 10:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Monaco54108:313
Monaco54108:3132
Lyon532010:211
Lyon532010:2113Paris FC53208:311
Paris FC53208:3114
Lille53118:410
Lille53118:4105Rennes53118:910
Rennes53118:9106
PSG52218:78
PSG52218:787
Angers52126:57
Angers52126:57Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.