Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
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PAOK — Iraklis Thessaloniki, Super League
Greece, Super League
PAOK
3.0WWLWL
Iraklis Thessaloniki
1.9DDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
69%21%
PAOK69%Draw21%Iraklis Thessaloniki10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1PAOK1.45—
XDraw4.70—
2Iraklis Thessaloniki10.42—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPAOKIraklis ThessalonikiCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners10.06.88.4
Cards2.62.24.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PAOKIraklis Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki FC 69%, Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 10%. The safest is “PAOK Thessaloniki FC or draw” at 90%.
PAOK Thessaloniki FC 69%Draw 21%Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 10%
1st half
53 · 34 · 13
2nd half
43 · 39 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
PAOK
- awayPanetolikos3:1
- homeAris Thessaloniki2:0
- awayPanathinaikos1:3
- awayAtromitos2:1
- awayBrann2:3
Iraklis Thessaloniki
- awayAris Thessaloniki0:0
- homeAtromitos1:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis2:0
- awayVolos New1:1
- awayAEK Athens0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Panathinaikos550012:215
Panathinaikos550012:2152PAOK540112:512
PAOK540112:5123
AEK Athens532013:311
AEK Athens532013:3114
OFI53118:410
OFI53118:4105
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:84Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.