All matches

Paks — ETO Gyor, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Paks
2.4WLDWL
—
ETO Gyor
3.1WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%25%37%
Paks38%Draw25%ETO Gyor37%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Paks38%2.62—
XDraw25%3.97—
2ETO Gyor37%2.73—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.56

No36%

ours 2.78

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPaksETO GyorCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners12.210.611.4
Cards1.62.44.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PaksETO Gyor

Paksi FC 38%, ETO FC 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Paksi FC 38%Draw 25%ETO FC 37%
1st half
35 · 39 · 26
2nd half
38 · 33 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Paks

  • awayKisvarda1:0
  • homeDebrecen2:4
  • awayNyiregyhaza Spartacus1:1
  • homeUjpest2:0
  • awayPuskas Akademia2:3

ETO Gyor

  • awayMTK Budapest2:1
  • homeKispest-Honved3:2
  • homeFerencvaros0:3
  • awayKisvarda1:1
  • homeZalaegerszeg3:0

Head to head

  • 02/22/26NB I3:4
  • 11/01/25NB I0:0
  • 07/27/25NB I3:3
  • 04/26/25NB I0:2
  • 02/01/25NB I1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1ETO Gyor843116:1015
2Puskas Akademia850313:1015
3Vasas842217:1114
4Ujpest842217:1314
5Ferencvaros733111:812
6Paks832316:1711
7MTK Budapest823315:149
8Kisvarda82339:109

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.