Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.16
All matches
—
Atromitos — AEK Athens, Super League
Greece, Super League
Atromitos
1.6LDDLL
AEK Athens
3.6WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%23%58%
Atromitos19%Draw23%AEK Athens58%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Atromitos5.22—
XDraw4.41—
2AEK Athens1.72—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAtromitosAEK AthensCombined
Goals scored0.671.502.17
Conceded1.170.331.50
Corners8.48.58.4
Cards3.01.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AtromitosAEK Athens
PAE APS Atromitos Athens 19%, AEK Athens FC 58%. The safest is “AEK Athens FC or draw” at 77%.
PAE APS Atromitos Athens 19%Draw 23%AEK Athens FC 58%
1st half
29 · 42 · 30
2nd half
21 · 37 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Atromitos
- homeKifisias1:2
- awayIraklis Thessaloniki1:1
- homeKalamata1:1
- homePAOK1:2
- awayOlympiakos0:1
AEK Athens
- awayVolos New2:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis1:1
- homeLASK1:0
- homeAris Thessaloniki5:0
- awayKifisias1:1
Head to head
- 03/15/26Super League2:2
- 12/07/25Super League1:4
- 02/15/25Super League1:2
- 11/03/24Super League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Panathinaikos550012:215
Panathinaikos550012:2152
PAOK540112:512
PAOK540112:5123AEK Athens532013:311
AEK Athens532013:3114
OFI53118:410
OFI53118:4105
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212
Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213
Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:92Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.