Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.35
No57%
ours 1.74
All matches
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Östersunds FK — Varbergs BoIS FC, Superettan
Sweden, Superettan
Östersunds FK
DWDWD
Varbergs BoIS FC
WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%30%31%
Östersunds FK39%Draw30%Varbergs BoIS FC31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Östersunds FK2.58—
XDraw3.34—
2Varbergs BoIS FC3.19—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricÖstersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FCCombined
Goals scored0.671.672.34
Conceded0.331.501.83
Corners11.013.812.4
Cards1.00.81.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Östersunds FKVarbergs BoIS FC
Östersunds FK 39%, Varbergs BoIS FC 31%. The safest is “Östersunds FK or draw” at 71%.
Östersunds FK 39%Draw 30%Varbergs BoIS FC 31%
1st half
25 · 55 · 21
2nd half
36 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Östersunds FK
- awayFalkenbergs FF0:0
- homeHelsingborgs IF1:0
- homeIK Brage1:1
- awayÖrebro SK1:0
- awayLandskrona BoIS1:1
Varbergs BoIS FC
- homeIK Brage3:2
- awayNorrby IF2:1
- homeIFK Norrkoping0:2
- awayIFK Varnamo1:1
- homeIK Oddevold3:1
Head to head
- 04/06/26Superettan2:1
- 08/24/25Superettan1:1
- 05/11/25Superettan0:1
- 07/27/24Superettan2:1
- 04/13/24Superettan0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
IFK Norrkoping25174448:1655
IFK Norrkoping25174448:16552
Falkenbergs FF25136646:3345
Falkenbergs FF25136646:33453Varbergs BoIS FC25135744:3344
Varbergs BoIS FC25135744:33444Östersunds FK251110433:2443
Östersunds FK251110433:24435
Landskrona BoIS25117739:2640
Landskrona BoIS25117739:26406
IK Oddevold2599738:3436
IK Oddevold2599738:3436Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.