Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.62
No38%
ours 2.62
All matches
—
Omiya Ardija — Kataller Toyama, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Omiya Ardija
DWDDD
Kataller Toyama
WDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%23%29%
Omiya Ardija47%Draw23%Kataller Toyama29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Omiya Ardija2.11—
XDraw4.31—
2Kataller Toyama3.39—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOmiya ArdijaKataller ToyamaCombined
Goals scored1.171.172.34
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners8.59.89.1
Cards1.81.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Omiya ArdijaKataller Toyama
Omiya Ardija 47%, Kataller Toyama 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Omiya Ardija 47%Draw 23%Kataller Toyama 29%
1st half
42 · 38 · 20
2nd half
35 · 33 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Omiya Ardija
- awayTegevajaro Miyazaki1:1
- homeVentforet Kofu5:1
- awayFujieda MYFC1:1
- homeOita Trinita0:0
- awayBlaublitz Akita0:0
Kataller Toyama
- awayVentforet Kofu2:1
- homeYokohama FC3:3
- awayMontedio Yamagata2:0
- homeTochigi City0:0
- awayJubilo Iwata1:0
Head to head
- 08/02/25J2 League2:0
- 05/03/25J2 League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Vegalta Sendai962117:820
Vegalta Sendai962117:8202
Albirex Niigata961213:1319
Albirex Niigata961213:13193Kataller Toyama952218:917
Kataller Toyama952218:9174Omiya Ardija945017:817
Omiya Ardija945017:8175
Yokohama FC952218:1117
Yokohama FC952218:11176
Shonan Bellmare944110:816
Shonan Bellmare944110:816Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.