Olympiakos Nicosia — Krasava Ypsonas, First Division

Cyprus, First DivisionOctober 24 at 03:00 PM

Olympiakos Nicosia

1.7LDDDD

Krasava Ypsonas

1.4LLLLL

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

49%26%25%

Olympiakos Nicosia49%Draw26%Krasava Ypsonas25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1Olympiakos Nicosia49%2.05—

XDraw26%3.87—

2Krasava Ypsonas25%3.94—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.91

No48%

ours 2.10

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1969 matches

Corners

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1965 matches

Cards

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1955 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Olympiakos NicosiaKrasava Ypsonas

Olympiakos Nicosia FC 49%, Krasava ENY Ypsonas 25%. The safest is “Olympiakos Nicosia FC or draw” at 74%.

Olympiakos Nicosia FC 49%Draw 26%Krasava ENY Ypsonas 25%

1st half

38 · 43 · 19

2nd half

35 · 38 · 27

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%

High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOlympiakos NicosiaKrasava YpsonasCombined

Goals scored1.600.602.20

Conceded1.802.604.40

Corners12.28.810.5

Cards1.82.64.4

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.