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OFI 2:0 Hoffenheim, UEFA Europa League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Europe, UEFA Europa LeagueMatch finished

1.9WWLLL
2:0HT 1:0
1.9LWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
12%16%72%
OFI12%Draw16%Hoffenheim72%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.88xG2.35
33Possession, %67
9Shots21
3Shots on target5
4Corners8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
8Fouls23
2Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 52 of 87void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Hoffenheim72%

    Actual: OFI — we had 12%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.572%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 28%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes61%

    Actual: No — we had 39%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1OFI12%8.38—
XDraw16%6.14—
2Hoffenheim72%1.39—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

OFI

  • awayPanetolikos1:0
  • homePAOK2:1
  • homeBayer Leverkusen0:2
  • awayKalamata3:4
  • awayRennes1:2

Hoffenheim

  • awayWerder Bremen0:2
  • homeBayer Leverkusen3:0
  • homeLyon3:0
  • awayBorussia Monchengladbach2:1
  • homeBesiktas2:3

Head to head

  • 09/17/26UEFA Europa League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Bournemouth33008:19
13OFI53028:49
14Olympiakos33004:19
15Qarabag42206:08
17Juventus32109:37
18Sunderland32104:27
19AZ Alkmaar32016:26
20PAOK42027:66
21Hradec Kralove42024:36
22Lyon32015:66
23Hajduk Split42025:66
24Rennes31204:35
26Lillestrom51224:105
27Real Sociedad31118:34
28Crystal Palace31118:54
29Sparta Prague31115:34
30Egnatia41127:64
31Paphos41127:64
32Levski Sofia31113:34
33Dinamo Zagreb31113:44
34Sturm Graz31111:34
35NEC Nijmegen31115:84
36Iberia 199941123:74
37Thun41127:124
38Sheriff41121:64
39Ararat-Armenia51134:124
40Hoffenheim31025:53
42AC Milan31024:53

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.