Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.08
All matches
—
OFI — Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
OFI
1.9DWWWL
Bayer Leverkusen
3.1WWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%78%
OFI8%Draw14%Bayer Leverkusen78%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1OFI13.04—
XDraw7.18—
2Bayer Leverkusen1.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOFIBayer LeverkusenCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners9.713.011.3
Cards1.71.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
OFIBayer Leverkusen
OFI FC 8%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 78%. The safest is “Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw” at 92%.
OFI FC 8%Draw 14%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 78%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
OFI
- homeAsteras Tripolis2:2
- homeHoffenheim2:0
- awayOlympiakos1:0
- homeKifisias2:0
- awayAris Thessaloniki1:2
Bayer Leverkusen
- homeRB Leipzig2:0
- homeCelje2:0
- awayAugsburg2:2
- homeUnion Berlin4:0
- awayElversberg2:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Jagiellonia531110:510
Jagiellonia531110:5109
Omonia53117:410
Omonia53117:41010OFI33007:09
OFI33007:0911
Maccabi Tel Aviv43019:49
Maccabi Tel Aviv43019:4912
Qarabag42206:08
Qarabag42206:0813
PAOK42027:66
PAOK42027:6614
Hradec Kralove42024:36
Hradec Kralove42024:3615
Hajduk Split42025:66
Hajduk Split42025:6616
Universitatea Craiova41214:45
Universitatea Craiova41214:4517
Egnatia41127:64
Egnatia41127:6418
Paphos41127:64
Paphos41127:6419
Lillestrom31113:34
Lillestrom31113:3420
Avan Academy31113:54
Avan Academy31113:5421
Iberia 199941123:74
Iberia 199941123:7422
Thun41127:124
Thun41127:12423
Sheriff41121:64
Sheriff41121:6424
Juventus11005:03
Juventus11005:0325
Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330
Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:13Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.