All matches

NSI Runavik — HB Torshavn, Premier League

Faroe Islands, Premier League

NSI Runavik
3.1WWWDW
  
HB Torshavn
3.1WLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%24%33%
NSI Runavik43%Draw24%HB Torshavn33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1NSI Runavik43%2.34—
XDraw24%4.21—
2HB Torshavn33%2.99—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

NSI RunavikHB Torshavn

NSÍ Runavík 43%, HB Tórshavn 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

NSÍ Runavík 43%Draw 24%HB Tórshavn 33%
1st half
28 · 42 · 31
2nd half
41 · 30 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 8.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNSI RunavikHB TorshavnCombined
Goals scored1.802.003.80
Conceded0.801.402.20
Corners9.610.810.2
Cards2.01.23.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

NSI Runavik
  • Unbeaten at home in 6 matches1:0, 1:1, 3:1, 4:2, 2:2
  • Unbeaten in 9 matches1:0, 2:1, 2:1, 1:1, 3:1
  • Best attack in the league — 50 goals in 25 matches1st place, 54 points
HB Torshavn
  • Unbeaten away in 4 matches1:0, 2:2, 3:1, 2:0, 0:2
  • 10 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 0:3, 4:1, 2:2, 3:1
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

NSI Runavik

  • home07 Vestur1:0
  • awaySkala2:1
  • awayB36 Tórshavn2:1
  • homeVikingur Gota1:1
  • homeAB Argir3:1

HB Torshavn

  • awayEB/Streymur1:0
  • homeKI Klaksvik0:3
  • homeAB Argir4:1
  • awaySkala2:2
  • awayVikingur Gota3:1

Head to head

  • 08/03/26Premier League1:3
  • 05/08/26Premier League2:1
  • 10/19/25Premier League0:3
  • 05/25/25Premier League1:4
  • 05/03/25Premier League7:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1NSI Runavik25166350:2754
2KI Klaksvik25139348:2248
3HB Torshavn25135745:3144
4Vikingur Gota251011438:2841
5B36 Tórshavn25109638:3239

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.