Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
—
Nomme Kalju — Kuressaare, Meistriliiga
Estonia, Meistriliiga
Nomme Kalju
3.0WWLLL
Kuressaare
0.8DLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%19%14%
Nomme Kalju67%Draw19%Kuressaare14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nomme Kalju1.49—
XDraw5.34—
2Kuressaare7.10—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNomme KaljuKuressaareCombined
Goals scored0.500.000.50
Conceded0.170.000.17
Corners10.018.014.0
Cards2.03.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Nomme KaljuKuressaare
Nõmme Kalju FC 67%, FC Kuressaare 14%. The safest is “Nõmme Kalju FC or draw” at 83%.
Nõmme Kalju FC 67%Draw 19%FC Kuressaare 14%
1st half
46 · 36 · 18
2nd half
43 · 36 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Nomme Kalju
- awayTammeka Tartu3:1
- homeNarva Trans2:0
- homeNomme United1:2
- awayFlora1:2
- homeLevadia2:3
Kuressaare
- awayHarju Jalgpallikool0:0
- homeTammeka Tartu1:3
- awayLevadia0:4
- homeNarva Trans3:1
- homeVaprus Parnu2:2
Head to head
- 07/19/26Meistriliiga0:0
- 05/17/26Meistriliiga2:0
- 03/21/26Meistriliiga4:0
- 10/25/25Meistriliiga1:0
- 08/31/25Meistriliiga2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Flora291811059:3955
Flora291811059:39553
Paide29156848:3651
Paide29156848:36514Nomme Kalju29155952:2750
Nomme Kalju29155952:27505
Tammeka Tartu291421337:4744
Tammeka Tartu291421337:47446
Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:46387
Vaprus Parnu29941638:5831
Vaprus Parnu29941638:58318Kuressaare29851631:4929
Kuressaare29851631:49299
Nomme United29911947:6828
Nomme United29911947:682810
Narva Trans29542022:6519
Narva Trans29542022:6519Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.