Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
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Slaven Belupo Koprivnica — Istra, Prva HNL
Croatia, Prva HNL
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica
1.5DLWLW
Istra
1.7LWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%27%30%
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica43%Draw27%Istra30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slaven Belupo Koprivnica2.31—
XDraw3.74—
2Istra3.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSlaven Belupo KoprivnicaIstraCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners10.38.09.2
Cards2.72.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Slaven Belupo KoprivnicaIstra
NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica 43%, NK Istra 1961 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica 43%Draw 27%NK Istra 1961 30%
1st half
35 · 37 · 28
2nd half
36 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica
- awayRudes2:2
- awayHajduk Split0:1
- homeLokomotiva Zagreb2:1
- awayOsijek0:3
- homeGorica2:0
Istra
- homeGorica0:1
- homeRudes3:2
- awayVarazdin0:0
- homeDinamo Zagreb2:2
- awayRijeka2:3
Head to head
- 08/15/26Prva HNL0:3
- 05/04/26Prva HNL1:3
- 02/27/26Prva HNL1:0
- 11/29/25Prva HNL1:1
- 09/12/25Prva HNL2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Varazdin843113:715
Varazdin843113:7155
Rijeka742113:714
Rijeka742113:7146Istra823314:139
Istra823314:1397
Lokomotiva Zagreb821511:167
Lokomotiva Zagreb821511:1678Slaven Belupo Koprivnica82157:167
Slaven Belupo Koprivnica82157:1679
Gorica81255:125
Gorica81255:12510
Rudes811610:244
Rudes811610:244Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.