Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
—
Radomlje — NS Mura, PrvaLiga
Slovenia, PrvaLiga
Radomlje
1.2LLLDL
NS Mura
1.0DLDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%31%
Radomlje44%Draw25%NS Mura31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Radomlje2.29—
XDraw3.95—
2NS Mura3.22—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRadomljeNS MuraCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners9.87.58.6
Cards2.53.05.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
RadomljeNS Mura
NK Radomlje 44%, NŠ Mura 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
NK Radomlje 44%Draw 25%NŠ Mura 31%
1st half
38 · 31 · 31
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Radomlje
- awayBrinje-Grosuplje1:2
- homeMaribor0:3
- awayNafta Lendava1:3
- homeOlimpija Ljubljana0:0
- homeAluminij1:3
NS Mura
- homeCelje0:0
- homeAluminij1:6
- awayMaribor1:1
- awayBravo0:2
- homeKoper0:1
Head to head
- 08/10/26PrvaLiga3:1
- 05/22/26PrvaLiga3:2
- 03/21/26PrvaLiga0:2
- 12/06/25PrvaLiga3:1
- 09/21/25PrvaLiga0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Celje933311:1112
Celje933311:11128
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811
Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:18119NS Mura1023510:219
NS Mura1023510:21910Radomlje91269:185
Radomlje91269:185Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.