Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64book 1.46
No39%
ours 2.55book 2.53
All matches
—
New England Revolution — Seattle Sounders, MLS
USA, MLS
New England Revolution
1.6LWWWL
Seattle Sounders
2.3WWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%32%
New England RevolutionMarket 1.9544%DrawMarket 3.9625%Seattle SoundersMarket 3.7532%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1New England Revolution2.291.95-7.5
XDraw4.053.96-0.5
2Seattle Sounders3.173.75+4.9
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNew England RevolutionSeattle SoundersCombined
Goals scored2.001.833.83
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners12.012.712.3
Cards2.31.74.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
New England RevolutionSeattle Sounders
New England Revolution 44%, Seattle Sounders FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
New England Revolution 44%Draw 25%Seattle Sounders FC 32%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Bookmakers: 1.95 · 3.96 · 3.75
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%1.25
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
New England Revolution
- awayReal Salt Lake0:3
- homeOrlando City4:2
- awayChicago Fire2:1
- awayNew York City2:1
- awayLA Galaxy1:2
Seattle Sounders
- homeSporting Kansas City2:1
- homeMinnesota United3:1
- homeReal Salt Lake2:0
- awayColorado Rapids3:3
- awayLA Galaxy1:1
Head to head
- 07/07/24MLS0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Dallas27138650:4247
Dallas27138650:42475
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:4436Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.