Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
—
Nashville SC — Sporting Kansas City, MLS
USA, MLS
Nashville SC
2.6WWDLD
Sporting Kansas City
0.5LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%20%13%
Nashville SC67%Draw20%Sporting Kansas City13%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nashville SC1.50—
XDraw4.90—
2Sporting Kansas City7.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNashville SCSporting Kansas CityCombined
Goals scored1.332.003.33
Conceded0.671.832.50
Corners8.612.810.7
Cards1.62.44.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Nashville SCSporting Kansas City
Nashville SC MLS 67%, Sporting Kansas City 13%. The safest is “Nashville SC MLS or draw” at 86%.
Nashville SC MLS 67%Draw 20%Sporting Kansas City 13%
1st half
52 · 31 · 17
2nd half
42 · 37 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Nashville SC
- homeToronto2:0
- homeChicago Fire3:0
- awayInter Miami2:2
- awayToronto1:2
- awayNew York City0:0
Sporting Kansas City
- awaySeattle Sounders1:2
- awayHouston Dynamo2:0
- homePhiladelphia Union3:4
- homeLos Angeles3:1
- awayDallas3:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Nashville SC27186355:2160
Nashville SC27186355:21602
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:2650
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:26503
St. Louis City27138648:3647
St. Louis City27138648:36474
Dallas27138650:4247
Dallas27138650:42475
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:643417
New York City27891041:3633
New York City27891041:363318
Cincinnati2689955:6433
Cincinnati2689955:643319
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
New York Red Bulls27961234:513320
San Diego27881147:4732
San Diego27881147:473221
Portland Timbers27951348:5132
Portland Timbers27951348:513222
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
Real Salt Lake27951340:443223
Austin277101035:4731
Austin277101035:473124
DC United26612834:4230
DC United26612834:423025
Columbus Crew27851439:4329
Columbus Crew27851439:432926
Minnesota United27781240:4929
Minnesota United27781240:492927
Toronto276111039:5129
Toronto276111039:512928
Atlanta United27761432:4527
Atlanta United27761432:452729
Montreal Impact27661534:5424
Montreal Impact27661534:542430Sporting Kansas City27631832:6521
Sporting Kansas City27631832:6521Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.