Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
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Modena FC — Hellas Verona FC, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
Modena FC
WDLWW
Hellas Verona FC
0.6WLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%28%25%
Modena FC47%Draw28%Hellas Verona FC25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Modena FC2.12—
XDraw3.62—
2Hellas Verona FC3.96—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricModena FCHellas Verona FCCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners9.89.39.6
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Modena FCHellas Verona FC
Modena FC 47%, Hellas Verona FC 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Modena FC 47%Draw 28%Hellas Verona FC 25%
1st half
41 · 39 · 20
2nd half
29 · 39 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Modena FC
- homeEmpoli FC2:1
- awayFC Südtirol1:1
- homeUS Avellino0:1
- awayUS Cremonese3:0
- awayBenevento Calcio2:1
Hellas Verona FC
- homeVicenza Calcio2:1
- awayBenevento Calcio1:3
- homeUnione Sportiva Arezzo5:0
- awayCalcio Padova Spa1:1
- homeAscoli Picchio FC 18981:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Südtirol53209:311
FC Südtirol53209:3113
Mantova FC532010:511
Mantova FC532010:5114Modena FC53118:410
Modena FC53118:4105
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:4106Hellas Verona FC521210:77
Hellas Verona FC521210:777
US Avellino52127:67
US Avellino52127:678
AC Cesena51407:67
AC Cesena51407:67Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.