Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
—
Pogon Szczecin — Radomiak Radom, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin
2.3WWDDD
Radomiak Radom
1.6LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%24%22%
Pogon Szczecin53%Draw24%Radomiak Radom22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Pogon Szczecin1.87—
XDraw4.11—
2Radomiak Radom4.51—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPogon SzczecinRadomiak RadomCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.331.331.66
Corners7.316.812.0
Cards1.81.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Pogon SzczecinRadomiak Radom
MKS Pogoń Szczecin 53%, RKS Radomiak Radom 22%. The safest is “MKS Pogoń Szczecin or draw” at 77%.
MKS Pogoń Szczecin 53%Draw 24%RKS Radomiak Radom 22%
1st half
46 · 34 · 20
2nd half
33 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Pogon Szczecin
- awayPiast Gliwice2:1
- homeWieczysta Krakow2:0
- homeWisla Plock1:1
- awayZaglebie Lubin0:0
- homeWisla Krakow2:2
Radomiak Radom
- awayLech Poznan1:5
- homePiast Gliwice0:2
- awayWidzew Lodz0:0
- homeCracovia Krakow2:1
- homeZaglebie Lubin0:0
Head to head
- 12/06/25Ekstraklasa2:2
- 07/20/25Ekstraklasa1:5
- 05/10/25Ekstraklasa0:2
- 11/08/24Ekstraklasa0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Lech Poznan861117:719
Lech Poznan861117:7194
Wisla Krakow952217:1217
Wisla Krakow952217:12175Pogon Szczecin843112:615
Pogon Szczecin843112:6156
Korona Kielce943212:1015
Korona Kielce943212:10157
Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
Zaglebie Lubin943211:10158
Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210
Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:131211
Wisla Plock83239:1211
Wisla Plock83239:121112
Widzew Lodz916213:139
Widzew Lodz916213:13913
Cracovia Krakow92259:148
Cracovia Krakow92259:14814Radomiak Radom92257:208
Radomiak Radom92257:20815
Slask Wroclaw913511:156
Slask Wroclaw913511:15616
Motor Lublin91359:156
Motor Lublin91359:156Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.