All matches

Mjallby — Inter Escaldes, UEFA Europa Conference League

Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League

Mjallby
2.5LDLLL
—
Inter Escaldes
1.9DDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
62%21%17%
Mjallby62%Draw21%Inter Escaldes17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mjallby62%1.62—
XDraw21%4.73—
2Inter Escaldes17%5.77—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMjallbyInter EscaldesCombined
Goals scored0.331.672.00
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners9.09.79.3
Cards2.52.85.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MjallbyInter Escaldes

Mjällby AIF 62%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 17%. The safest is “Mjällby AIF or draw” at 83%.

Mjällby AIF 62%Draw 21%Inter Club d'Escaldes 17%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mjallby

  • homeGAIS0:3
  • awayHacken1:1
  • homeIFK Goteborg1:4
  • homeDjurgarden0:2
  • awayDjurgarden0:4

Inter Escaldes

  • homeDrita0:0
  • awayDrita2:2
  • awayFlora4:0
  • homeFlora2:0
  • homeLincoln Red Imps1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
28Auda Riga43018:79
29Zalgiris630314:169
30Inter Escaldes42208:28
31Hapoel Tel Aviv62227:58
32Sion622214:138

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.