All matches

Mjallby — Degerfors IF, Allsvenskan

Sweden, Allsvenskan

Mjallby
2.5LDLLL
—
Degerfors IF
1.3LWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%23%22%
MjallbyMarket 1.8754%DrawMarket 3.6023%Degerfors IFMarket 3.8922%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mjallby54%53%1.851.87+0.7
XDraw23%28%4.263.60-4.3
2Degerfors IF22%26%4.473.89-3.3

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81book 1.75

No45%

ours 2.24book 1.97

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMjallbyDegerfors IFCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded2.330.833.16
Corners8.211.49.8
Cards2.21.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MjallbyDegerfors IF

Mjällby AIF 54%, Degerfors IF 22%. The safest is “Mjällby AIF or draw” at 76%.

Mjällby AIF 54%Draw 23%Degerfors IF 22%
1st half
41 · 40 · 19
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25

Bookmakers: 1.87 · 3.60 · 3.89

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mjallby

  • homeGAIS0:3
  • awayHacken1:1
  • homeIFK Goteborg1:4
  • homeDjurgarden0:2
  • awayDjurgarden0:4

Degerfors IF

  • homeHammarby0:1
  • homeHalmstads2:0
  • awayElfsborg0:2
  • awayBrommapojkarna0:2
  • homeIFK Goteborg3:0

Head to head

  • 05/09/26Allsvenskan4:1
  • 09/13/25Allsvenskan1:0
  • 04/27/25Allsvenskan4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10GAIS2186728:1830
11Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
12Mjallby21561026:3721
13Degerfors IF21541219:3219
14Kalmar FF22541321:3619
15Örgryte IS22361325:4915

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.