Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
MK Dons — Bromley, EFL League One
England, EFL League One
MK Dons
1.6LWLDD
Bromley
1.4LLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%23%23%
MK DonsMarket 1.7154%DrawMarket 3.7523%BromleyMarket 4.2223%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1MK Dons1.851.71+0.4
XDraw4.333.75-1.4
2Bromley4.394.22+1.0
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MK DonsBromley
Milton Keynes Dons FC 54%, Bromley FC 23%. The safest is “Milton Keynes Dons FC or draw” at 78%.
Milton Keynes Dons FC 54%Draw 23%Bromley FC 23%
1st half
46 · 37 · 17
2nd half
44 · 29 · 27
Bookmakers: 1.71 · 3.75 · 4.22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMK DonsBromleyCombined
Goals scored0.801.001.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
MK Dons- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- 6 draws in 10 matches — most in the league20th place, 9 points
- One win in the last 5 matches0:2, 2:1, 1:5, 0:0, 1:1
Bromley- Winless away in 4 matches0:1, 1:2, 2:2, 2:7, 1:0
- 3 defeats in a row0:4, 0:1, 1:2, 2:1, 2:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
MK Dons
- awayBlackpool0:2
- homeLuton Town FC2:1
- homeReading1:5
- awayAFC Wimbledon0:0
- homePeterborough United1:1
Bromley
- homeLeicester City FC0:4
- awayStockport County0:1
- awayMansfield Town1:2
- homeHuddersfield Town2:1
- awayBlackpool2:2
Head to head
- 04/11/26EFL League Two2:1
- 10/25/25EFL League Two1:2
- 02/08/25EFL League Two0:1
- 09/28/24EFL League Two1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18
Notts County1024410:1310
Notts County1024410:131019
Doncaster Rovers1023510:139
Doncaster Rovers1023510:13920
MK Dons1016311:189
MK Dons1016311:18921
Peterborough United1123610:209
Peterborough United1123610:20922
Barnsley1022610:198
Barnsley1022610:19823
Bromley102269:258
Bromley102269:25824
Wigan Athletic102177:157
Wigan Athletic102177:157Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.