Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
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Millonarios — Jaguares de Cordoba, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Millonarios
2.6DDWWD
Jaguares de Cordoba
1.1LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
71%20%
Millonarios71%Draw20%Jaguares de Cordoba9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Millonarios1.41—
XDraw4.99—
2Jaguares de Cordoba11.14—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMillonariosJaguares de CordobaCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners8.811.810.3
Cards1.83.55.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MillonariosJaguares de Cordoba
Millonarios FC SA 71%, Jaguares de Córdoba FC 9%. The safest is “Millonarios FC SA or draw” at 91%.
Millonarios FC SA 71%Draw 20%Jaguares de Córdoba FC 9%
1st half
52 · 36 · 13
2nd half
50 · 34 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Millonarios
- awayIndependiente Medellin2:2
- awayAtletico Nacional1:1
- homeBoyaca Chico3:0
- awayCucuta Deportivo2:1
- homeDeportivo Cali1:1
Jaguares de Cordoba
- awayRionegro Aguilas0:2
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
- awayIndependiente Medellin1:2
- homeFortaleza CEIF2:2
- awayJunior3:3
Head to head
- 04/02/26Categoria Primera A0:1
- 09/26/24Categoria Primera A0:0
- 03/10/24Categoria Primera A1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536
Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117
Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:512819Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:532520
Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918
Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.