All matches

Skalica — Trencin, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

Skalica
1.3LLDLL
—
Trencin
1.4LLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%25%30%
Skalica45%Draw25%Trencin30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Skalica45%2.23—
XDraw25%3.98—
2Trencin30%3.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.37

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSkalicaTrencinCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded2.002.334.33
Corners8.411.49.9
Cards1.41.02.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SkalicaTrencin

MFK Skalica 45%, FK AS Trenčín 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

MFK Skalica 45%Draw 25%FK AS Trenčín 30%
1st half
33 · 37 · 30
2nd half
37 · 39 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Skalica

  • homePodbrezova0:1
  • awayDukla Banska Bystrica2:3
  • awayKFC Komarno0:0
  • homeDAC Dunajska Streda1:6
  • awayZemplin Michalovce0:2

Trencin

  • awayZilina1:2
  • homeDAC Dunajska Streda1:4
  • awayZemplin Michalovce1:3
  • homeRuzomberok2:1
  • homeSpartak Trnava0:4

Head to head

  • 04/19/26Super Liga4:1
  • 03/15/26Super Liga1:2
  • 02/28/26Super Liga0:1
  • 10/18/25Super Liga1:1
  • 05/17/25Super Liga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Zemplin Michalovce94149:1113
7Kosice833221:1812
8Skalica922511:198
9Dukla Banska Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komarno90548:145
11Trencin812510:205
12Ruzomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.