Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Skalica — Spartak Trnava, Super Liga
Slovakia, Super Liga
Skalica
1.3LLDLL
Spartak Trnava
2.7DWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
25%23%52%
Skalica25%Draw23%Spartak Trnava52%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Skalica4.05—
XDraw4.34—
2Spartak Trnava1.91—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSkalicaSpartak TrnavaCombined
Goals scored0.501.502.00
Conceded1.671.333.00
Corners8.56.57.5
Cards1.53.85.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SkalicaSpartak Trnava
MFK Skalica 25%, FC Spartak Trnava 52%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
MFK Skalica 25%Draw 23%FC Spartak Trnava 52%
1st half
27 · 36 · 37
2nd half
26 · 41 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Skalica
- homePodbrezova0:1
- awayDukla Banska Bystrica2:3
- awayKFC Komarno0:0
- homeDAC Dunajska Streda1:6
- awayZemplin Michalovce0:2
Spartak Trnava
- awayDAC Dunajska Streda2:2
- homeKosice5:2
- awayRuzomberok1:1
- homeZilina1:3
- awayTrencin4:0
Head to head
- 07/25/26Super Liga1:1
- 12/13/25Super Liga0:2
- 09/13/25Super Liga0:4
- 11/30/24Super Liga0:2
- 08/24/24Super Liga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
DAC Dunajska Streda862025:520
DAC Dunajska Streda862025:5202
Zilina962123:1720
Zilina962123:17203Spartak Trnava953121:1018
Spartak Trnava953121:10184
Slovan Bratislava851220:916
Slovan Bratislava851220:9165
Podbrezova942313:1614
Podbrezova942313:16146
Zemplin Michalovce94149:1113
Zemplin Michalovce94149:11137
Kosice833221:1812
Kosice833221:18128Skalica922511:198
Skalica922511:1989
Dukla Banska Bystrica92169:217
Dukla Banska Bystrica92169:21710
KFC Komarno90548:145
KFC Komarno90548:145Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.