Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68book 1.82
No40%
ours 2.47book 1.85
All matches
—
Metropolitanos — Rayo Zuliano, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Metropolitanos
2.6WWWWW
Rayo Zuliano
1.3DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%14%
MetropolitanosMarket 1.2563%DrawMarket 4.9522%Rayo ZulianoMarket 9.3514%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Metropolitanos1.581.25-16.6
XDraw4.464.95+2.2
2Rayo Zuliano7.049.35+3.5
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMetropolitanosRayo ZulianoCombined
Goals scored2.502.174.67
Conceded0.672.172.84
Corners10.58.89.7
Cards2.53.25.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MetropolitanosRayo Zuliano
Metropolitanos FC 63%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 14%. The safest is “Metropolitanos FC or draw” at 82%.
Metropolitanos FC 63%Draw 22%Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 14%
1st half
41 · 37 · 22
2nd half
44 · 36 · 20
Bookmakers: 1.25 · 4.95 · 9.35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Metropolitanos
- awayZamora3:1
- homeCaracas3:0
- awayAcademia Anzoategui2:0
- awayMonagas1:0
- homeTrujillanos4:1
Rayo Zuliano
- homeMonagas1:1
- awayTrujillanos4:2
- homePortuguesa2:0
- awayDeportivo Tachira1:3
- homeCarabobo4:3
Head to head
- 04/18/26Primera División1:0
- 10/05/25Primera División1:0
- 04/26/25Primera División4:2
- 09/21/24Primera División2:2
- 03/23/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Metropolitanos30187546:2661
Metropolitanos30187546:26612
Deportivo Tachira30177649:3158
Deportivo Tachira30177649:31583
Carabobo311312647:2851
Carabobo311312647:28514
Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
Deportivo La Guaira301311641:27505
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:32466
Portuguesa301111840:3344
Portuguesa301111840:33447
Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:3944
Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:39448
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:3839
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:38399Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
Rayo Zuliano24831331:452710
Caracas24511824:3126
Caracas24511824:312611
Monagas24741326:3525
Monagas24741326:3525Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.