Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
Maringa — Associação Ferroviária de Esportes, Serie C
Brazil, Serie C
Maringa
2.2WDDWL
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
2.5WLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%28%25%
Maringa47%Draw28%Associação Ferroviária de Esportes25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Maringa2.14—
XDraw3.60—
2Associação Ferroviária de Esportes3.93—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1747 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1745 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1736 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MaringaAssociação Ferroviária de Esportes
Maringá FC 47%, Associação Ferroviária de Esportes 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Maringá FC 47%Draw 28%Associação Ferroviária de Esportes 25%
1st half
29 · 48 · 22
2nd half
46 · 31 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 23.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMaringaAssociação Ferroviária de EsportesCombined
Goals scored1.001.672.67
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners12.212.212.2
Cards1.22.53.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Maringa
- homeFloresta2:0
- awaySanta Cruz1:1
- awayBotafogo-PB0:0
- homeBotafogo-PB2:0
- homeSanta Cruz0:1
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
- homeInter de Limeira2:0
- awayPaysandu SC0:1
- awayBrusque FC1:1
- homeBrusque FC3:2
- homePaysandu SC1:0
Head to head
- 04/04/26Serie C3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Associação Ferroviária de Esportes25118632:2241
Associação Ferroviária de Esportes25118632:22412Maringa25118638:3241
Maringa25118638:32413
Santa Cruz25117725:1840
Santa Cruz25117725:18404
Brusque FC25109638:3239
Brusque FC25109638:3239Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.