Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
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Mantova FC — US Città di Palermo, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
Mantova FC
DWDWW
US Città di Palermo
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%27%37%
Mantova FC36%Draw27%US Città di Palermo37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mantova FC2.78—
XDraw3.70—
2US Città di Palermo2.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMantova FCUS Città di PalermoCombined
Goals scored1.671.673.34
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners9.611.410.5
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Mantova FCUS Città di Palermo
Mantova FC 36%, US Città di Palermo 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Mantova FC 36%Draw 27%US Città di Palermo 37%
1st half
31 · 38 · 30
2nd half
36 · 33 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Mantova FC
- homeAC Pisa 19092:2
- homeUC Sampdoria2:0
- awayAC Cesena1:1
- homeEmpoli FC3:1
- awayCarrarese Calcio2:1
US Città di Palermo
- homeCalcio Padova Spa2:1
- awayUS Avellino1:1
- homeUC Sampdoria3:1
- awayUnione Sportiva Arezzo3:2
- homeSS Juve Stabia1:0
Head to head
- 03/04/26Serie B1:2
- 01/11/26Serie B1:1
- 02/16/25Serie B2:2
- 10/30/24Serie B0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1US Città di Palermo541010:513
US Città di Palermo541010:5132
FC Südtirol53209:311
FC Südtirol53209:3113Mantova FC532010:511
Mantova FC532010:5114
Modena FC53118:410
Modena FC53118:4105
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.