Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Mansfield Town — Oxford United FC, EFL League One
England, EFL League One
Mansfield Town
DDLLW
Oxford United FC
1.2DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%25%36%
Mansfield Town38%Draw25%Oxford United FC36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mansfield Town2.60—
XDraw3.96—
2Oxford United FC2.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMansfield TownOxford United FCCombined
Goals scored0.331.832.16
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners8.010.49.2
Cards2.71.84.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Mansfield TownOxford United FC
Mansfield Town FC 38%, Oxford United FC 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Mansfield Town FC 38%Draw 25%Oxford United FC 36%
1st half
33 · 44 · 23
2nd half
32 · 30 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Mansfield Town
- awayBurton Albion2:2
- homeHuddersfield Town0:0
- awayBradford City0:1
- awayReading0:5
- homeLuton Town FC5:2
Oxford United FC
- homeCambridge United1:1
- homeBurton Albion3:0
- awayLeicester City FC4:0
- awayHuddersfield Town1:3
- awayStevenage2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Burton Albion933314:1512
Burton Albion933314:15129
AFC Wimbledon83326:812
AFC Wimbledon83326:81210Oxford United FC632113:711
Oxford United FC632113:71111
Leyton Orient831413:1110
Leyton Orient831413:111012
Wycombe Wanderers824213:1610
Wycombe Wanderers824213:161013
Stevenage723211:89
Stevenage723211:8914
Leicester City FC72329:119
Leicester City FC72329:11915
Blackpool722313:138
Blackpool722313:13816
Luton Town FC722312:148
Luton Town FC722312:14817Mansfield Town722310:138
Mansfield Town722310:13818
Barnsley72237:128
Barnsley72237:12819
Bromley72238:188
Bromley72238:188Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.