Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67book 1.49
No40%
ours 2.48book 2.48
All matches
—
Manchester United — Tottenham, Premier League
England, Premier League
Manchester United
2.8DLWDW
Tottenham
1.8LDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
61%23%16%
Manchester UnitedMarket 1.7661%DrawMarket 4.3123%TottenhamMarket 4.6716%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Manchester United1.631.76+4.4
XDraw4.374.31-0.3
2Tottenham6.334.67-5.6
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricManchester UnitedTottenhamCombined
Goals scored2.000.502.50
Conceded1.331.332.66
Corners10.712.511.6
Cards1.21.32.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Manchester UnitedTottenham
Manchester United FC 61%, Tottenham Hotspur FC 16%. The safest is “Manchester United FC or draw” at 80%.
Manchester United FC 61%Draw 23%Tottenham Hotspur FC 16%
1st half
45 · 36 · 19
2nd half
39 · 35 · 25
Bookmakers: 1.76 · 4.31 · 4.67
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
69%1.33
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Manchester United
- awayFulham1:1
- homeManchester City0:1
- homeSabah4:0
- awayEverton2:2
- homeIpswich Town5:2
Tottenham
- homeAston Villa2:3
- homeEverton0:0
- awayNottingham Forest0:0
- homeNewcastle United0:2
- awayBrentford0:3
Head to head
- 02/07/26Premier League2:0
- 11/08/25Premier League2:2
- 05/21/25UEFA Europa League0:1
- 02/16/25Premier League0:1
- 09/29/24Premier League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Chelsea521210:127
Chelsea521210:12711
Ipswich Town52037:116
Ipswich Town52037:11612Manchester United51228:85
Manchester United51228:8513
Nottingham Forest51224:55
Nottingham Forest51224:5514
Sunderland51136:104
Sunderland51136:10415
Crystal Palace51136:114
Crystal Palace51136:11416
Aston Villa51134:94
Aston Villa51134:9417
Bournemouth50326:83
Bournemouth50326:8318
Coventry City51041:103
Coventry City51041:10319
Fulham50235:82
Fulham50235:8220Tottenham50232:82
Tottenham50232:82Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.