Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.49
All matches
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Maccabi Tel Aviv — Hapoel Haifa, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.9WWWWD
Hapoel Haifa
1.3LWDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
73%19%
Maccabi Tel Aviv73%Draw19%Hapoel Haifa8%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Maccabi Tel Aviv1.37—
XDraw5.36—
2Hapoel Haifa11.93—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMaccabi Tel AvivHapoel HaifaCombined
Goals scored2.171.173.34
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners9.57.88.6
Cards2.52.34.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Haifa
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 73%, Hapoel Haifa FC 8%. The safest is “Maccabi Tel Aviv FC or draw” at 89%.
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 73%Draw 19%Hapoel Haifa FC 8%
1st half
52 · 36 · 12
2nd half
45 · 35 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Maccabi Tel Aviv
- awayMaccabi Netanya2:1
- homeHapoel Tel Aviv4:1
- awayHapoel Be'er Sheva4:1
- homeMaccabi Haifa3:1
- homeLugano1:1
Hapoel Haifa
- awayBeitar Jerusalem1:2
- homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin3:1
- awayMaccabi Netanya1:1
- awayHapoel Be'er Sheva2:2
- homeHapoel Tel Aviv0:0
Head to head
- 04/05/26Israeli Premier League4:1
- 02/28/26Israeli Premier League4:1
- 12/03/25Israeli Premier League2:1
- 12/02/25Israeli Premier League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:6152
Maccabi Haifa540112:712
Maccabi Haifa540112:7123
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610
Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:65Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.