Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.61
No38%
ours 2.64
All matches
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Maccabi Netanya — Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Maccabi Netanya
1.8LLDWD
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
1.2WDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%26%24%
Maccabi Netanya51%Draw26%Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Maccabi Netanya1.97—
XDraw3.90—
2Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem4.21—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMaccabi NetanyaHapoel Katamon JerusalemCombined
Goals scored0.331.672.00
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners12.39.711.0
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Maccabi NetanyaHapoel Katamon Jerusalem
Maccabi Netanya FC 51%, Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC 24%. The safest is “Maccabi Netanya FC or draw” at 76%.
Maccabi Netanya FC 51%Draw 26%Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC 24%
1st half
37 · 42 · 21
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Maccabi Netanya
- homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:2
- awayHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim0:2
- homeHapoel Haifa1:1
- awayBeitar Jerusalem4:1
- homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin0:0
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
- awayMaccabi Petah Tikva4:2
- awayIroni Tiberias2:2
- homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona4:2
- awayHapoel Petah Tikva0:1
- homeMaccabi Tel Aviv2:5
Head to head
- 05/04/26Israeli Premier League1:0
- 01/10/26Israeli Premier League1:1
- 01/09/26Israeli Premier League1:1
- 09/27/25Israeli Premier League2:1
- 09/27/25Israeli Premier League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:6511
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:6412
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.