All matches

Maccabi Haifa — Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Maccabi Haifa
2.5WWWLW
—
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.5WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%26%40%
Maccabi Haifa34%Draw26%Hapoel Be'er Sheva40%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Maccabi Haifa34%2.95—
XDraw26%3.88—
2Hapoel Be'er Sheva40%2.48—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMaccabi HaifaHapoel Be'er ShevaCombined
Goals scored1.670.171.84
Conceded1.000.001.00
Corners8.09.58.8
Cards3.51.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Maccabi HaifaHapoel Be'er Sheva

Maccabi Haifa FC 34%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Maccabi Haifa FC 34%Draw 26%Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 40%
1st half
29 · 41 · 29
2nd half
32 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Maccabi Haifa

  • homeIroni Tiberias3:2
  • awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona4:0
  • homeHapoel Petah Tikva2:1
  • awayMaccabi Tel Aviv1:3
  • homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim2:1

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

  • homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona1:0
  • homeDinamo Zagreb0:0
  • awayHapoel Petah Tikva2:0
  • homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
  • homeHapoel Haifa2:2

Head to head

  • 05/23/26Israeli Premier League5:2
  • 05/06/26Israeli Premier League0:1
  • 01/10/26Israeli Premier League0:0
  • 01/10/26Israeli Premier League0:0
  • 09/29/25Israeli Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
2Maccabi Haifa540112:712
3Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
4Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
5Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
6Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.