Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.56
No36%
ours 2.78
All matches
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Macarthur — Western Sydney Wanderers, A-League
Australia, A-League
Macarthur
1.7WLLWW
Western Sydney Wanderers
1.6LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%24%33%
Macarthur43%Draw24%Western Sydney Wanderers33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Macarthur2.34—
XDraw4.14—
2Western Sydney Wanderers3.01—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMacarthurWestern Sydney WanderersCombined
Goals scored1.500.171.67
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners12.310.511.4
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MacarthurWestern Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur FC 43%, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Macarthur FC 43%Draw 24%Western Sydney Wanderers FC 33%
1st half
37 · 34 · 29
2nd half
36 · 34 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Macarthur
- homeWellington Phoenix4:0
- awayAdelaide United1:3
- awayPerth Glory1:3
- homeNewcastle Jets3:2
- awayAuckland2:1
Western Sydney Wanderers
- homeMelbourne Victory0:2
- awayWellington Phoenix1:2
- homeSydney0:2
- awayMelbourne City0:3
- homeAdelaide United2:4
Head to head
- 02/28/26A-League0:4
- 01/01/26A-League1:0
- 11/01/25A-League1:1
- 05/03/25A-League1:3
- 02/16/25A-League1:2
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.