All matches

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza — Chrobry Glogow, 1. Liga

Poland, 1. Liga

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
1.5WWWDL
—
Chrobry Glogow
LDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%27%27%
LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza45%Draw27%Chrobry Glogow27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza45%2.20—
XDraw27%3.67—
2Chrobry Glogow27%3.65—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.18

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLKS Termalica Bruk-Bet NiecieczaChrobry GlogowCombined
Goals scored0.500.000.50
Conceded0.170.330.50
Corners12.58.010.3
Cards2.52.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet NiecieczaChrobry Glogow

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza 45%, MZKS Chrobry Głogów 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza 45%Draw 27%MZKS Chrobry Głogów 27%
1st half
29 · 43 · 28
2nd half
43 · 36 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 8.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

  • homeOdra Opole1:0
  • awayFKS Stal Mielec2:1
  • homeKS Lechia Gdańsk2:1
  • awayPogon Grodzisk2:2
  • homePolonia Warszawa1:3

Chrobry Glogow

  • awayPolonia Warszawa0:2
  • homePogon Siedlce0:0
  • awayMiedz Legnica1:1
  • homeRuch Chorzow2:0
  • homeWarta Poznan0:1

Head to head

  • 12/07/241. Liga3:2
  • 07/27/241. Liga4:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Pogon Grodzisk953115:818
2LKS Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza951314:1216
3Warta Poznan950417:1315
4LKS Lodz943213:915
5Miedz Legnica942314:914
6Polonia Warszawa942315:1214
7Stal Rzeszow942310:1514
8KS Lechia Gdańsk941417:1513
9Chrobry Glogow933311:812
10Pogon Siedlce83329:712
11Ruch Chorzow93339:1112

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.