Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No39%
ours 2.53
All matches
—
Ljungskile SK — IK Brage, Superettan
Sweden, Superettan
Ljungskile SK
LLWDL
IK Brage
LDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Ljungskile SK49%Draw25%IK Brage26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ljungskile SK2.02—
XDraw4.00—
2IK Brage3.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLjungskile SKIK BrageCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded1.501.673.17
Corners10.411.811.1
Cards1.21.83.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ljungskile SKIK Brage
Ljungskile SK 49%, IK Brage 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Ljungskile SK 49%Draw 25%IK Brage 26%
1st half
44 · 36 · 20
2nd half
36 · 33 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ljungskile SK
- awayGIF Sundsvall2:3
- homeFalkenbergs FF0:2
- homeNorrby IF2:1
- awayIFK Norrkoping2:2
- homeIFK Varnamo0:1
IK Brage
- awayVarbergs BoIS FC2:3
- homeSandvikens IF1:1
- awayÖstersunds FK1:1
- homeGIF Sundsvall0:1
- awayFalkenbergs FF1:4
Head to head
- 06/09/26Superettan2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Helsingborgs IF25861136:4530
Helsingborgs IF25861136:453011
IFK Varnamo25851233:4529
IFK Varnamo25851233:452912Ljungskile SK25771133:3628
Ljungskile SK25771133:362813
Norrby IF25412928:3524
Norrby IF25412928:352414
Örebro SK25591127:3924
Örebro SK25591127:392415IK Brage25581239:4823
IK Brage25581239:482316
GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319
GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.