Both teams to score
Yes41%
ours 2.45
No59%
ours 1.69
All matches
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Livingston FC — Arbroath, Championship
Scotland, Championship
Livingston FC
0.9LWDWL
Arbroath
LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%25%11%
Livingston FC65%Draw25%Arbroath11%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Livingston FC1.55—
XDraw4.03—
2Arbroath9.45—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLivingston FCArbroathCombined
Goals scored1.500.331.83
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners8.39.89.0
Cards2.01.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Livingston FCArbroath
Livingston FC 65%, Arbroath FC 11%. The safest is “Livingston FC or draw” at 89%.
Livingston FC 65%Draw 25%Arbroath FC 11%
1st half
44 · 40 · 16
2nd half
55 · 35 · 10
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Livingston FC
- homeAyr United1:2
- awayRaith Rovers2:0
- homeInverness CT2:2
- awayGreenock Morton4:1
- homeStenhousemuir0:1
Arbroath
- awayPartick Thistle0:3
- homeQueen's Park2:1
- awayStenhousemuir0:1
- awayRaith Rovers0:4
- homeDunfermline1:1
Head to head
- 08/29/26Championship0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Raith Rovers952213:617
Raith Rovers952213:6173
Partick Thistle84318:215
Partick Thistle84318:2154Livingston FC941413:913
Livingston FC941413:9135
Dunfermline73316:412
Dunfermline73316:4126
Ayr United93249:1011
Ayr United93249:10117Arbroath93246:1311
Arbroath93246:13118
Inverness CT82429:910
Inverness CT82429:9109
Queen's Park81164:134
Queen's Park81164:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.