Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74book 1.76
No43%
ours 2.34book 1.97
All matches
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Levante — Sevilla, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Levante
2.1LLDWD
Sevilla
1.6LWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%26%29%
LevanteMarket 2.7445%DrawMarket 3.4126%SevillaMarket 2.7929%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Levante2.202.74+9.0
XDraw3.913.41-3.8
2Sevilla3.442.79-6.7
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLevanteSevillaCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded2.001.333.33
Corners8.87.58.2
Cards1.02.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LevanteSevilla
Levante UD 45%, Sevilla FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Levante UD 45%Draw 26%Sevilla FC 29%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Bookmakers: 2.74 · 3.41 · 2.79
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%1.25
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Levante
- awayVillarreal1:3
- homeBarcelona2:4
- awayMalaga0:0
- homeReal Betis5:2
- awayOsasuna0:0
Sevilla
- homeBarcelona1:3
- awayDeportivo La Coruna1:0
- homeValencia1:0
- awayEspanyol1:1
- homeAtletico Madrid1:3
Head to head
- 04/23/26La Liga2:0
- 01/04/26La Liga3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164
Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811
Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:13814
Celta Vigo71428:67
Celta Vigo71428:6715
Espanyol721410:107
Espanyol721410:10716
Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518
Elche712411:175
Elche712411:17519
Valencia71154:134
Valencia71154:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.