Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
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Levadiakos — Aris Thessaloniki, Super League
Greece, Super League
Levadiakos
2.0LDLLL
Aris Thessaloniki
2.3DLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%27%40%
Levadiakos34%Draw27%Aris Thessaloniki40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Levadiakos2.98—
XDraw3.77—
2Aris Thessaloniki2.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLevadiakosAris ThessalonikiCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners12.08.310.2
Cards2.30.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LevadiakosAris Thessaloniki
Levadiakos FC 34%, Aris Thessaloniki FC 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Levadiakos FC 34%Draw 27%Aris Thessaloniki FC 40%
1st half
28 · 40 · 32
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Levadiakos
- homeOlympiakos0:1
- awayKifisias0:0
- homePanetolikos0:2
- homePanathinaikos0:2
- awayPAOK0:4
Aris Thessaloniki
- homeIraklis Thessaloniki0:0
- awayPAOK0:2
- awayAEK Athens0:5
- homeOFI2:1
- awayKalamata3:2
Head to head
- 05/17/26Super League0:3
- 04/05/26Super League1:1
- 01/25/26Super League2:2
- 10/26/25Super League1:1
- 02/16/25Super League4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411
Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212
Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213
Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:9214Levadiakos50140:91
Levadiakos50140:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.