Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
Leicester City FC — Wigan Athletic, EFL League One
England, EFL League One
Leicester City FC
1.9WWLDW
Wigan Athletic
1.4LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%23%19%
Leicester City FCMarket 1.5958%DrawMarket 3.9523%Wigan AthleticMarket 4.8219%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Leicester City FC1.711.59+0.7
XDraw4.403.95-0.5
2Wigan Athletic5.314.82-0.2
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Leicester City FCWigan Athletic
Leicester City FC 58%, Wigan Athletic FC 19%. The safest is “Leicester City FC or draw” at 82%.
Leicester City FC 58%Draw 23%Wigan Athletic FC 19%
1st half
47 · 35 · 18
2nd half
42 · 36 · 22
Bookmakers: 1.59 · 3.95 · 4.82
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLeicester City FCWigan AthleticCombined
Goals scored2.400.402.80
Conceded1.600.802.40
Corners12.810.611.7
Cards1.63.65.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Leicester City FC- 12 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 2:1, 1:3, 1:1, 4:3
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for shots on target — 5.5 per match24 teams in the league
Wigan Athletic- Winless away in 7 matches1:2, 0:1, 0:0, 0:1, 2:3
- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:2, 1:0, 0:1, 0:1, 0:0
- Relegation zone: 24th of 24
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Leicester City FC
- awayBromley4:0
- homeDoncaster Rovers2:1
- homePeterborough United1:3
- awayBarnsley1:1
- awayStockport County4:3
Wigan Athletic
- awayOxford United FC1:2
- homeReading1:0
- awayStevenage0:1
- homeWycombe Wanderers0:1
- awaySheffield Wednesday FC0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Stevenage1043315:1015
Stevenage1043315:101510
Mansfield Town1043316:1515
Mansfield Town1043316:151511Leicester City FC1043316:1515
Leicester City FC1043316:151512
Leyton Orient1042415:1114
Leyton Orient1042415:111413
Luton Town FC1042419:1814
Luton Town FC1042419:181414
Burton Albion1235416:1814
Burton Albion1235416:181415
Wycombe Wanderers1135318:2214
Wycombe Wanderers1135318:221416
AFC Wimbledon113357:1812
AFC Wimbledon113357:181217
Blackpool1032515:1611
Blackpool1032515:161118
Notts County1024410:1310
Notts County1024410:131019
Doncaster Rovers1023510:139
Doncaster Rovers1023510:13920
MK Dons1016311:189
MK Dons1016311:18921
Peterborough United1123610:209
Peterborough United1123610:20922
Barnsley1022610:198
Barnsley1022610:19823
Bromley102269:258
Bromley102269:25824Wigan Athletic102177:157
Wigan Athletic102177:157Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.