Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.35
No57%
ours 1.74
All matches
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Leicester City FC — Stevenage, EFL League One
England, EFL League One
Leicester City FC
0.9DWLWD
Stevenage
LWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%29%27%
Leicester City FC44%Draw29%Stevenage27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Leicester City FC2.28—
XDraw3.45—
2Stevenage3.68—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Leicester City FCStevenage
Leicester City FC 44%, Stevenage FC 27%. The safest is “Leicester City FC or draw” at 73%.
Leicester City FC 44%Draw 29%Stevenage FC 27%
1st half
35 · 47 · 18
2nd half
33 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLeicester City FCStevenageCombined
Goals scored0.170.000.17
Conceded0.170.170.34
Corners17.09.013.0
Cards4.04.08.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Leicester City FC
- awayBarnsley1:1
- awayStockport County4:3
- homeOxford United FC0:4
- homePlymouth Argyle FC2:0
- awayMK Dons0:0
Stevenage
- awayLeyton Orient0:1
- homeLuton Town FC2:1
- awayBarnsley5:1
- awayPeterborough United0:0
- homeDoncaster Rovers2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Leyton Orient831413:1110
Leyton Orient831413:111012
Wycombe Wanderers824213:1610
Wycombe Wanderers824213:161013Stevenage723211:89
Stevenage723211:8914Leicester City FC72329:119
Leicester City FC72329:11915
Blackpool722313:138
Blackpool722313:13816
Luton Town FC722312:148
Luton Town FC722312:148Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.