Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.24
All matches
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Le Havre — Auxerre, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Le Havre
1.2LDLDL
Auxerre
1.5WWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%25%33%
Le Havre42%Draw25%Auxerre33%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Le Havre2.38—
XDraw3.93—
2Auxerre3.07—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLe HavreAuxerreCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded1.172.003.17
Corners10.812.811.8
Cards1.61.63.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Le HavreAuxerre
Le Havre AC 42%, Association Jeunesse Auxerroise 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Le Havre AC 42%Draw 25%Association Jeunesse Auxerroise 33%
1st half
33 · 39 · 28
2nd half
35 · 40 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Le Havre
- awayToulouse2:3
- homeAngers0:0
- homeBrest1:2
- awayLyon1:1
- homeMonaco0:1
Auxerre
- homeBrest2:1
- homeNice1:0
- awayLyon1:3
- homeAngers1:3
- awayLens2:5
Head to head
- 04/05/26Ligue 11:1
- 10/26/25Ligue 11:0
- 05/04/25Ligue 12:1
- 09/01/24Ligue 13:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Strasbourg521210:107
Strasbourg521210:1079
Le Mans51319:96
Le Mans51319:9610Auxerre52037:126
Auxerre52037:12611
Brest51227:85
Brest51227:8512
Lorient51225:65
Lorient51225:6513
Toulouse51227:95
Toulouse51227:9514
Nice51223:65
Nice51223:6515
Lens51139:94
Lens51139:9416
Troyes51134:114
Troyes51134:11417
Marseille51047:83
Marseille51047:8318Le Havre50234:72
Le Havre50234:72Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.