All matches

Landskrona BoIS — Varbergs BoIS FC, Superettan

Sweden, Superettan

Landskrona BoIS
WWLWD
—
Varbergs BoIS FC
WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%26%28%
Landskrona BoIS46%Draw26%Varbergs BoIS FC28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Landskrona BoIS46%2.17—
XDraw26%3.88—
2Varbergs BoIS FC28%3.56—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLandskrona BoISVarbergs BoIS FCCombined
Goals scored2.001.003.00
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners11.815.813.8
Cards1.81.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Landskrona BoISVarbergs BoIS FC

Landskrona BoIS 46%, Varbergs BoIS FC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Landskrona BoIS 46%Draw 26%Varbergs BoIS FC 28%
1st half
38 · 37 · 24
2nd half
41 · 36 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Landskrona BoIS

  • awayUnited IK Nordic4:1
  • homeGIF Sundsvall4:0
  • homeHelsingborgs IF1:2
  • awayNorrby IF3:1
  • homeÖstersunds FK1:1

Varbergs BoIS FC

  • homeIK Brage3:2
  • awayNorrby IF2:1
  • homeIFK Norrkoping0:2
  • awayIFK Varnamo1:1
  • homeIK Oddevold3:1

Head to head

  • 06/22/26Superettan3:2
  • 10/06/25Superettan2:1
  • 05/22/25Superettan2:4
  • 08/26/24Superettan1:4
  • 07/22/24Superettan1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1IFK Norrkoping25174448:1655
2Falkenbergs FF25136646:3345
3Varbergs BoIS FC25135744:3344
4Östersunds FK251110433:2443
5Landskrona BoIS25117739:2640
6IK Oddevold2599738:3436
7Östers IF251131138:3836

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.