Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.61
No38%
ours 2.64
All matches
—
LA Galaxy — San Diego, MLS
USA, MLS
LA Galaxy
1.8WWDLW
San Diego
2.1DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%25%32%
LA Galaxy43%Draw25%San Diego32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LA Galaxy2.31—
XDraw4.08—
2San Diego3.10—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLA GalaxySan DiegoCombined
Goals scored1.171.172.34
Conceded1.332.173.50
Corners11.37.39.3
Cards1.31.52.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LA GalaxySan Diego
LA Galaxy 43%, San Diego FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
LA Galaxy 43%Draw 25%San Diego FC 32%
1st half
39 · 34 · 27
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
LA Galaxy
- homeColorado Rapids3:2
- awayMinnesota United3:2
- homeSeattle Sounders1:1
- awayVancouver Whitecaps0:3
- homeNew England Revolution2:1
San Diego
- awayAustin3:3
- awayInter Miami2:2
- homePhiladelphia Union0:5
- homeSan Jose Earthquakes2:3
- awayOrlando City0:1
Head to head
- 08/30/26MLS1:3
- 05/24/25MLS1:2
- 02/24/25MLS0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:643417
New York City27891041:3633
New York City27891041:363318
Cincinnati2689955:6433
Cincinnati2689955:643319
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
New York Red Bulls27961234:513320San Diego27881147:4732
San Diego27881147:473221
Portland Timbers27951348:5132
Portland Timbers27951348:513222
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432
Real Salt Lake27951340:4432Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.