Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
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KuPS — Gnistan, Veikkausliiga
Finland, Veikkausliiga
KuPS
3.1WDDLW
Gnistan
2.0DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%23%19%
KuPS58%Draw23%Gnistan19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KuPS1.73—
XDraw4.36—
2Gnistan5.21—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKuPSGnistanCombined
Goals scored0.000.500.50
Conceded0.000.330.33
Corners—8.5—
Cards—2.0—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KuPSGnistan
Kuopion Palloseura 58%, IF Gnistan 19%. The safest is “Kuopion Palloseura or draw” at 77%.
Kuopion Palloseura 58%Draw 23%IF Gnistan 19%
1st half
47 · 34 · 19
2nd half
34 · 37 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
KuPS
- awayVPS2:0
- homeHJK0:0
- awayGnistan1:1
- awayInter Turku0:1
- homeShamrock Rovers1:0
Gnistan
- homeHJK1:1
- awayOulu2:1
- homeKuPS1:1
- homeTurun Palloseura1:1
- awayHJK3:2
Head to head
- 09/08/26Veikkausliiga1:1
- 08/01/26Veikkausliiga1:0
- 04/11/26Veikkausliiga1:0
- 10/30/25Veikkausliiga1:1
- 09/27/25Veikkausliiga4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1KuPS25139341:2448
KuPS25139341:24482
Inter Turku25139332:1848
Inter Turku25139332:18483
HJK25126739:2942
HJK25126739:29424Gnistan25118640:3241
Gnistan25118640:32415
Lahti25106930:2436
Lahti25106930:24366
VPS25106930:2536
VPS25106930:2536Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.