All matches

Vllaznia — Dinamo Tirana, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Vllaznia
2.0LLLDD
—
Dinamo Tirana
2.3WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%29%31%
Vllaznia40%Draw29%Dinamo Tirana31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vllaznia40%2.48—
XDraw29%3.50—
2Dinamo Tirana31%3.21—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVllazniaDinamo TiranaCombined
Goals scored0.832.002.83
Conceded2.501.504.00
Corners7.89.08.4
Cards0.82.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

VllazniaDinamo Tirana

KS Vllaznia Shkodër 40%, KS Dinamo Tirana 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

KS Vllaznia Shkodër 40%Draw 29%KS Dinamo Tirana 31%
1st half
38 · 39 · 23
2nd half
28 · 41 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Vllaznia

  • homeTeuta Durres0:2
  • awayLaci0:2
  • homePartizani2:3
  • awayElbasani1:1
  • homeSkenderbeu Korce2:2

Dinamo Tirana

  • homeLaci3:1
  • awayPartizani4:2
  • homeElbasani2:1
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:0
  • awayPaphos2:4

Head to head

  • 05/16/26Superliga0:2
  • 03/21/26Superliga0:0
  • 01/19/26Superliga2:0
  • 11/08/25Superliga1:0
  • 08/31/25Superliga1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76
6Tirana51228:95
7Partizani51137:104
8Vora51133:104
9Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
10Vllaznia50235:102

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.