All matches

Vllaznia — Tirana, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Vllaznia
2.0LLLDD
—
Tirana
1.7DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%28%25%
Vllaznia47%Draw28%Tirana25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vllaznia47%2.13—
XDraw28%3.58—
2Tirana25%3.97—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVllazniaTiranaCombined
Goals scored0.501.331.83
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners8.310.59.4
Cards0.50.30.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

VllazniaTirana

KS Vllaznia Shkodër 47%, KF Tirana 25%. The safest is “KS Vllaznia Shkodër or draw” at 77%.

KS Vllaznia Shkodër 47%Draw 28%KF Tirana 25%
1st half
41 · 38 · 21
2nd half
35 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 2.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Vllaznia

  • homeTeuta Durres0:2
  • awayLaci0:2
  • homePartizani2:3
  • awayElbasani1:1
  • homeSkenderbeu Korce2:2

Tirana

  • homeElbasani2:2
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:1
  • homeVora4:0
  • awayTeuta Durres1:3
  • awayEgnatia0:3

Head to head

  • 05/06/26Superliga0:1
  • 02/27/26Superliga3:1
  • 12/20/25Superliga1:1
  • 10/24/25Superliga3:1
  • 03/11/25Superliga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76
6Tirana51228:95
7Partizani51137:104
8Vora51133:104
9Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
10Vllaznia50235:102

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.