Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
—
Egnatia — Vllaznia, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Egnatia
2.7WLWWL
Vllaznia
2.0LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%27%22%
Egnatia51%Draw27%Vllaznia22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Egnatia1.97—
XDraw3.65—
2Vllaznia4.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEgnatiaVllazniaCombined
Goals scored1.330.832.16
Conceded0.831.672.50
Corners8.37.27.7
Cards0.30.40.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EgnatiaVllaznia
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 51%, KS Vllaznia Shkodër 22%. The safest is “KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw” at 78%.
KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 51%Draw 27%KS Vllaznia Shkodër 22%
1st half
37 · 39 · 24
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 2.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Egnatia
- homePartizani2:1
- awayElbasani1:2
- homeSkenderbeu Korce2:1
- awayVora3:1
- awayLillestrom1:2
Vllaznia
- homeTeuta Durres0:2
- awayLaci0:2
- homePartizani2:3
- awayElbasani1:1
- homeSkenderbeu Korce2:2
Head to head
- 05/23/26Superliga2:1
- 03/13/26Superliga0:0
- 01/14/26Superliga0:1
- 11/04/25Superliga2:2
- 08/22/25Superliga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Teuta Durres541010:213
Teuta Durres541010:2132Egnatia540111:512
Egnatia540111:5123
Dinamo Tirana540110:512
Dinamo Tirana540110:5124
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875
Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766
Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:957
Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:1048
Vora51133:104
Vora51133:1049
Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
Skenderbeu Korce50325:7310Vllaznia50235:102
Vllaznia50235:102Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.