All matches

Konyaspor — Istanbul Basaksehir, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Konyaspor
1.5DWLLL
—
Istanbul Basaksehir
2.4WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%26%40%
KonyasporMarket 2.7034%DrawMarket 3.5826%Istanbul BasaksehirMarket 2.6240%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Konyaspor34%37%2.922.70-2.7
XDraw26%28%3.833.58-1.8
2Istanbul Basaksehir40%38%2.522.62+1.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72book 1.64

No42%

ours 2.38book 2.13

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKonyasporIstanbul BasaksehirCombined
Goals scored0.671.672.34
Conceded1.331.833.16
Corners8.38.58.4
Cards2.72.55.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KonyasporIstanbul Basaksehir

Konyaspor 34%, İstanbul Başakşehir FK 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Konyaspor 34%Draw 26%İstanbul Başakşehir FK 40%
1st half
31 · 39 · 31
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30

Bookmakers: 2.70 · 3.58 · 2.62

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%1.31
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Konyaspor

  • awayKasimpasa0:0
  • homeTrabzonspor1:0
  • awayErzurumspor0:1
  • homeKocaelispor1:2
  • awayFenerbahce2:4

Istanbul Basaksehir

  • homeGenclerbirligi4:0
  • awayAmedspor0:5
  • homeGalatasaray2:3
  • homeKasimpasa1:1
  • awayTrabzonspor1:2

Head to head

  • 02/27/26Süper Lig0:2
  • 09/28/25Süper Lig2:1
  • 04/05/25Süper Lig0:1
  • 11/03/24Süper Lig3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137
14Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124
17Goztepe603311:153

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.