Both teams to score
Yes65%
ours 1.53
No35%
ours 2.90
All matches
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Kongsvinger IL — Stabæk Fotball, First Division
Norway, First Division
Kongsvinger IL
WWDWD
Stabæk Fotball
LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%23%25%
Kongsvinger IL52%Draw23%Stabæk Fotball25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kongsvinger IL1.91—
XDraw4.38—
2Stabæk Fotball4.04—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKongsvinger ILStabæk FotballCombined
Goals scored1.170.331.50
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners15.59.512.5
Cards2.52.55.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kongsvinger ILStabæk Fotball
Kongsvinger IL 52%, Stabæk Fotball 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Kongsvinger IL 52%Draw 23%Stabæk Fotball 25%
1st half
40 · 33 · 27
2nd half
42 · 29 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kongsvinger IL
- awayMoss FK2:0
- homeIL Hødd5:1
- awayEgersunds IK1:1
- homeRaufoss IL9:1
- homeFC Lyn Oslo4:4
Stabæk Fotball
- awayHaugesund0:2
- homeSogndal Fotball2:1
- awayBryne FK0:2
- homeMoss FK2:3
- awayIL Hødd1:2
Head to head
- 05/25/26First Division0:2
- 08/10/25First Division2:1
- 05/31/25First Division2:2
- 10/21/24First Division1:3
- 05/04/24First Division0:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Haugesund24181574:3955
Haugesund24181574:39552Kongsvinger IL24165370:3553
Kongsvinger IL24165370:35533
Stromsgodset24156361:3151
Stromsgodset24156361:31514Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
Stabæk Fotball24143757:31455
Odds24116750:3839
Odds24116750:38396
Bryne FK241221033:3138
Bryne FK241221033:3138Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.